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: NAS100 15m | Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep and Bearish CISD; Testin
US Tech 100 CAPITALCOM:NAS100facelesstradersog
1. Fundamental Analysis
On Thursday the Nasdaq Composite fell 2.6%, led by tech, and the S&P 500 lost 1.21%. The US100 dropped about 2.9% while the Dow closed flat.
riotimesonline
tradingeconomics
The main driver was concern about heavy AI spending and whether it will pay off, especially after Meta’s plan to ramp up investment. Markets are also pricing a likely Fed rate hike in December, and the Nasdaq sits 5.8% below its October 6 record.
abc
riotimesonline
One market review calls this an ordinary pullback to the .618 retracement of the July-October move. The index closed at 28,783 above that level, with the .786 near 28,076.
cestriancapitalresearch
Nasdaq 100 futures were slightly positive (about +0.24%) in Friday trading.
benzinga
Summary: Short-term fundamentals are weak (tech, rate expectations, high yields). However, the decline has reached an important Fibonacci zone, so a reaction or short-term bounce is possible. The Fed meeting next week means volatility is likely.
2. Technical Analysis (Smart Money + Support/Resistance)
Market structure:
A strong sell-off from ~29,400 to the 28,850 area, followed by a range between roughly 28,850 and 29,000.
A bullish BOS occurred, then price swept buy-side liquidity above 29,100.
Right after the sweep, a bearish CISD (change in state of delivery) printed and price returned to the bottom of the range. This often suggests liquidity was taken and price may head toward lower liquidity.
The supply zone (Order Block/Breaker) is around 29,038-29,063. Price is now on the daily level at 28,934 and below the trigger line at 28,957.
Key levels:
Resistance: 28,957, 29,038-29,063 (supply zone), 29,106 (swept high) and 29,407 (4H trigger).
Support: 28,934 (daily level), 28,910, 28,850 (range lows/liquidity), 28,798 (short trigger), 28,764 and then 28,600.
3. Educational Scenarios
Bearish (in line with current structure): Rejection at 28,957 and a close below 28,930.
Entry zone: retest of 28,957-28,990 after confirmation
Invalidation: above 29,063
Targets: 28,798, 28,764 and then 28,600
Approx. R:R: 1:1.5 to 1:3
Bullish (bounce from the Fib level and liquidity): A sweep of the 28,850 lows, a return above 28,957, then a close above 29,038.
Entry zone: retest of 29,038 after confirmation
Invalidation: below 28,990 (or below 28,850 for an entry after a low sweep)
Targets: 29,106 and then 29,407
Approx. R:R: 1:1.3 to 1:5
Note: Price is on the daily level and equal lows below it hold liquidity, so a sweep and quick bounce is possible before any continuation lower. The index is very volatile; do not enter without confirmation and keep position size small.
4. Disclaimer
This is an educational idea only and not financial advice. No profit or outcome is guaranteed. CFD and leveraged trading is high risk, so always use a stop loss and do your own research.
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